CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2022-05-17T09:23:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2022-05-17T09:23ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/20235/-1
CME Note: Visible in the NW of STEREO A COR2 and as a partial halo NNE in SOHO LASCO C2/C3. May be associated with an eruption from AR 13011 (N16E20), visible in SDO AIA 193 starting around 2022-05-17T08:21Z. Also associated with a double flare from AR 13011. UPDATE (2022-05-24) from LASSOS Team: Bz rotation at the end of 2022-05-21 but it is very short and there are no clear coincidental ICME signatures and no magnetic shock at L1 associated with it. If there is an ICME arrival, it comes at the back of a High Speed Stream, and the ICME signature is extremely weak.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-05-21T17:00Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 4.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: 77.63 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2022-05-18T11:22Z
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